When our urban pundit class speaks of the future of cities, we are offered glittering images of London, New York, Singapore, or Shanghai. In reality, the future for most of the world’s megacities—places with more than 10 million people—may look more like Dhaka, Mumbai, or Kinshasa: dirty, poverty- and disease-ridden, and environmentally disastrous. Read more
https://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/problem-megacities-cover.jpg406355Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2014-08-28 19:06:422017-01-31 15:16:22Welcome to the Billion-Man Slum
The globalization of cities and their elites often comes at the expense of many of the people who live there. Forced to compete with foreign capital and immigrant workers, native-born residents of cities from Los Angeles and London to Singapore often feel displaced, becoming strangers in what they thought was their own place. Read more
https://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/City_of_London_from_London_City_Hall.jpg470850Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2014-08-23 18:48:382017-01-31 15:25:07The Problem With Being Global
An Excerpt from Joel Kotkin’s Forthcoming bookThe New Class Conflict available for pre-order now from Telos Press and in bookstores September, 2014.
In ways not seen since the Gilded Age of the late nineteenth century, America is becoming a nation of increasingly sharply divided classes. Joel Kotkin’s The New Class Conflict breaks down these new divisions for the first time, focusing on the ascendency of two classes Read more
/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png00Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2014-08-10 22:31:062017-02-27 09:27:33In the Future We’ll All Be Renters: America’s Disappearing Middle Class
If California is to change course and again become a place of opportunity, the impetus is likely to come not from the perennially shrinking Republican Party but from working-class and middle-class Democrats.
This group, long quiescent, has emerged most notably in opposition to the state’s anti-global warming cap-and-trade policies, which will force up energy prices. Recently, some 16 Democratic Assembly members, led by Fresno’s Henry Perea, asked the state to suspend the cap-and-trade program, which will add as much as a dollar to what already are among the highest gasoline prices in the nation.
In some senses, this budding blue-collar rebellion exposes the essential contradiction between the party’s now-dominant gentry Left and its much larger and less well-off voting base. For the people who fund the party – public employee unions, Silicon Valley and Hollywood – higher energy prices are more than worth the advantages. Public unions get to administer the program and gain in power and employment while venture capitalists and firms, like Google, get to profit on mandated “green energy” schemes. Read more
In the coming election, we will hear much, particularly from progressives, about inequality, poverty and racism. We already can see this in the pages of mainstream media, with increased calls for reparations for African-Americans, legalizing undocumented immigrants and a higher minimum wage.
There’s no question that minorities’ economic wellbeing has deteriorated since the economy cratered in 2007. African-America youth unemployment is now twice that of whites, while the black middle class, once rapidly expanding, has essentially lost the gains made over the past 30 years, says the Urban League. Read more
/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png00Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2014-07-29 01:08:562017-02-27 09:32:51To Fight Inequality, Blue States Need To Shift Focus To Blue-Collar Jobs
America, seen either from here or from abroad, doesn’t look so good these days. The country that maintained world peace for decades now “leads by behind,” or not at all. You don’t have to have nostalgia for George W. Bush’s foreign policy to wish for someone in the White House who at least belongs in the same room with the likes of Vladimir Putin. Some wags now suggest that President Barack Obama has exceeded Jimmy Carter in foreign policy incompetence – Carter certainly was more effective in the Middle East.
/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png00Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2014-07-29 01:07:392017-02-27 09:34:37America Down But Not Out
David Wolff and David Hightower are driving down the partially completed Grand Parkway around Houston. The vast road, when completed, will add a third freeway loop around this booming, 600-square-mile Texas metropolis. Urban aesthetes on the ocean coasts tend to have a low opinion of the flat Texas landscape—and of Houston, in particular, which they see as a little slice of Hades: a hot, humid, and featureless expanse of flood-prone grassland, punctuated only by drab office towers and suburban tract houses. But Wolff and Hightower, major land developers on Houston’s outskirts for four decades, have a different outlook. “We may not have all the scenery of a place like California,” notes the 73-year-old Wolff, who is also part owner of the San Francisco Giants. “But growth makes up for a lot of imperfections.” Read more
/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png00Joel Kotkin and Tory Gattis/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin and Tory Gattis2014-07-17 16:32:372017-02-27 09:36:01America’s Opportunity City: Lots of New Jobs and a Low Cost of Living Make Houston a Middle-class …
Ever since the publication this spring of Thomas Piketty’s book “Capital in the 21st Century,” conservatives and much of the business press, such as the Financial Times, have been on a jihad to discredit the author and his findings about increased income inequality in Western societies. Some have even equated growing attacks on inequality with anti-Semitism, with at least one Silicon Valley venture capitalist, Tom Perkins, comparing anti-inequality campaigners to Nazis.
/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png00Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2014-07-17 16:27:182017-02-27 09:37:50Growth, Not Redistribution the Cure for Income Inequality
What if they gave a recovery, and the middle class were never invited? Well, that’s an experiment we are running now, and, even with the recent strengthening of the jobs market, it’s not looking very good.
Over the last five years, Wall Street and the investor class have been on a bull run, but the economy has been, at best, torpid for the vast majority of the population. Despite blather about our “democratic capitalism,” stock ownership is increasingly concentrated with the wealthy as the middle class retrenches. The big returns that hedge funds, real estate trusts or venture capitalist receive are simply outside the reach of the vast majority.
/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png00Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2014-07-11 22:50:252017-02-27 09:39:29There Will Be No Real Recovery Without The Middle Class
When we think about American finance, the default image is of a pinstriped banker on Wall Street. But increasingly financial services is shifting away from the traditional bastions of money.
In an analysis of recent and longer-term employment trends, we have identified the large cities –those with over 450,000 jobs – that are gaining jobs in financial services, a sector that employs 7.9 million people nationwide. Overwhelmingly, the fastest growth has been in cities not associated with high finance, but largely low-cost Sun Belt cities, which account for seven of the top 10 large metro areas on our list.
/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png00Joel Kotkin and Michael Shires/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin and Michael Shires2014-06-27 19:06:292017-02-27 10:12:59The Cities Stealing Jobs From Wall Street