Trump Says the U.S. is ‘Full.’ Much of the Nation Has the Opposite Problem.

This article first appeared in The New York Times

An aging population and a declining birthrate among the native-born population mean a shrinking work force in many areas.

President Trump has adopted a blunt new message in recent days for migrants seeking refuge in the United States: “Our country is full.”

To the degree the president is addressing something broader than the recent strains on the asylum-seeking process, the line suggests the nation can’t accommodate higher immigration levels because it is already bursting at the seams. But it runs counter to the consensus among demographers and economists.

Read more

The Tech Generation Rush Isn’t to Major Cities. It’s Away From Them

Excerpted from an article that first appeared at Ozy

Remember when Amazon led America on a mad rat race, promising to bring tens of thousands of high-paying jobs to one lucky city if it offered business-friendly bids with massive tax incentives and a promise to not disclose its plans to the public? Read more

Joel Kotkin on In Focus SoCal: the exodus of the Middle Class

By: Spectrum News
On: In Focus  – Joel Kotkin

Joel Kotkin appears on In Focus, discussing the SoCal exodus of people and businesses – especially middle class families. Housing costs play a major role, but where are people and businesses relocating?

Amazon HQ2 Controversy: What Did Jeff Bezos Want in NYC Anyway?

By: New York Observer

Amazon’s decision to settle half of its $5 billion HQ2 project in Long Island, New York City, last November was a big surprise to tech industry experts and ordinary observers alike, for the obvious reason that the Big Apple simply seemed too crowded to take in another 25,000 workers that Amazon planned to bring to the new headquarters. Read more

West Hollywood Emerged Stronger from the 1990s Recession Because of Its Gay Economy


California was one of the states hardest hit by a national recession in the early 1990s. A decline in defense spending that seriously hurt the state’s booming defense industry, plus sharply reduced demand for goods and services produced in the state led to a collapse of the real estate market.

Though the city was only five years old when the recession began in 1989, “Few communities emerged from the recession stronger, or with better prospects, than West Hollywood,” according to Los Angeles economist Joel Kotkin. He wrote an opinion piece published by the Los Angeles Times on Feb. 26, 1995 in which he credited the “gay economy” for West Hollywood’s economic resilience. The headline, “L.A.’s Latest Economic Force: Gays, Lesbians” was the first such acknowledgement of the significance of the city’s gay economy in the mainstream news media.

Read more

Joel Kotkin Interviewed by Peter Tilden

By: KABC 790AM
On: Peter Tilden Weeknights – Joel Kotkin

Joel Kotkin talks with Peter Tilden on 790KABC, discussing the impact of LA’s increasing urban densification and how it is affecting previously middle and working class neighborhoods.

Click to play the audio segment (mp3)

Tech Giants Want to Solve the Housing Nightmare They Created

By: Ankita RaolJan
On: Vice

“These companies are so dominant,” argued Joel Kotkin, a fellow in Urban Futures at Chapman University in California, and author of The Human City: Urbanism for the Rest of Us. “There’s only a few people who have money, and even in doing things that are necessary, it’s going to be the affordable housing they want.”

Read more

The New Geography of Kids: Understand the Future of Households with Children or Else

By: Builder Online

The kids are alright.

Except, one thing. Where are they?

Where will they be?

Birthrates are falling. Death rates climbing. These two, combined, account for the fact that the “U.S. Population Grew at the Slowest Pace in More than 80 Years.”

Read more

Joel Kotkin Talks with Peter Boyle about Today’s Cultural Engineering

By: KNUS 710AM
On: Peter Boyles On-Demand – Joel Kotkin

Joel Kotkin talks with Peter Boyle on 710KNUS, discussing the impact of today’s cultural engineering on media, politics, and our educational institutions.

Click to play the audio segment (mp3)

Beyond H2Q-Amania: Why the Rise of the Rest Bodes Well for the Midwest

By: Builder Online

Perhaps, no two four-letter words matter more to people whose livelihoods revolve around building homes for other people to live in and prosper.

Which two four-letter words come to mind? [It’s forgiveness Friday, so there are no wrong answers.]

Jobs is one. Dirt is the other. Read more