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You are here: Home1 / Articles2 / Politics

Turn Of The Screwed: Does The GOP Have A Shot At Wooing Disgruntled Millennials?

April 22, 2014/in Demographics, Politics
Appearing in:

Forbes

Over the past five years, the millennial generation (born after 1983) has been exercising greater influence over the economy, society and politics of the country, a trend that will only grow in the coming years. So far, they’ve leaned Democratic in the voting booth, but could the lousy economic fate of what I’ve dubbed “the screwed generation” lead to a change?

Just look at these numbers. Since 2008, the percentage of the workforce under 25 has dropped by 13.2%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, while that of people over 55 has risen by 7.6%. Among high school graduates who left school in 2009-11, only 16% had full-time work in 2012, and 22% worked part time although most sought a full-time job. Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2014-04-22 01:08:482017-02-27 10:55:31Turn Of The Screwed: Does The GOP Have A Shot At Wooing Disgruntled Millennials?

The Spread of ‘Debate is Over’ Syndrome

April 22, 2014/in California, Politics
Appearing in:

Orange County Register

The ongoing trial involving journalist Mark Steyn – accused of defaming climate change theorist Michael Mann – reflects an increasingly dangerous tendency among our intellectual classes to embrace homogeneity of viewpoint. Steyn, whose column has appeared for years on these pages, may be alternatingly entertaining or over-the-top obnoxious, but the slander lawsuit against him marks a milestone in what has become a dangerously authoritarian worldview being adopted in academia, the media and large sections of the government bureaucracy.

Let’s call it “the debate is over” syndrome, referring to a term used most often in relationship with climate change but also by President Barack Obama last week in reference to what remains his contentious, and theoretically reformable, health care plan. Ironically, this shift to certainty now comes increasingly from what passes for the Left in America.

Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2014-04-22 01:07:322017-02-27 10:57:03The Spread of ‘Debate is Over’ Syndrome

Don’t make big-city mayors regional rulers

April 14, 2014/in Politics, Urban Affairs
Appearing in:

Orange County Register

Given the quality of leadership in Washington, it’s not surprising that many pundits are shifting focus to locally based solutions to pressing problems. This increasingly includes many progressives, who historically have embraced an ever-more expansive federal government.

In many ways, this constitutes an extraordinarily positive development. Political decentralization is built into the very framework of American democracy, as Alexis de Tocqueville, among others, recognized. Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2014-04-14 16:03:182017-02-27 10:58:23Don’t make big-city mayors regional rulers

Drought Stokes California’s Class War

March 9, 2014/in Politics, The Economy
Appearing in:

Forbes

As all the Californians who celebrated the deluge of rain that fell the week before last know, it did not do much to ameliorate the state’s deep drought. We are likely to enter our traditionally dry spring, summer and fall in a crisis likely to exacerbate the ever greater estrangement between the state’s squabbling regions and classes.

There are two prevailing views about how to deal with the drought. Farming interests in the Central Valley want the state to fund construction of additional water storage capacity so that the 700,000 acres of some of world’s richest farmland now fallowed by steep water cutbacks can be put back into production. Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2014-03-09 06:31:112017-02-27 11:16:07Drought Stokes California’s Class War

Energy Running Out of California

March 4, 2014/in California, Politics, The Economy
Appearing in:

Orange County Register

The recent decision by Occidental Petroleum to move its headquarters to Houston from Los Angeles, where it was founded over a half-century ago, confirms the futility and delusion embodied in California’s ultragreen energy policies. By embracing solar and wind as preferred sources of generating power, the state promotes an ever-widening gap between its declining middle- and working-class populations and a smaller, self-satisfied group of environmental campaigners and their corporate backers.

Talk to people who work in the fossil-fuel industry, and they tell you they feel ostracized and even hated; to be an oil firm in California is like being a pork producer in an ultra-Orthodox section of Jerusalem. Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2014-03-04 19:24:062017-02-27 11:19:08Energy Running Out of California

Oregon’s Sad Focus on Happiness

February 24, 2014/in Politics, The Economy
Appearing in:

Orange County Register

Oregon is a beautiful place, and, for many of the state’s well-heeled residents, including many refugees from equally beautiful but overpriced California, economic growth not only is unimportant but is even a negative. Rather than create opportunity, the real issue, according to Gov. John Kitzhaber, is making sure the state ranks high on “the happiness index.” Forget sweating the hard stuff, and cozy up with a hot soy latte.

There’s a problem with this. Oregon’s unemployment rate remains above the national average and underemployment – the measure of people working part-time or well below their skill level – stands at nearly 17 percent, behind only Nevada and California. Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2014-02-24 16:53:122017-03-06 10:46:25Oregon’s Sad Focus on Happiness

The U.S. Middle Class Is Turning Proletarian

February 16, 2014/in Politics, The Economy
Appearing in:

Forbes

The biggest issue facing the American economy, and our political system, is the gradual descent of the middle class into proletarian status. This process, which has been going on intermittently since the 1970s, has worsened considerably over the past five years, and threatens to turn this century into one marked by downward mobility.

The decline has less to do with the power of the “one percent” per se than with the drying up of opportunity amid what is seen on Wall Street and in the White House as a sustained recovery. Despite President Obama’s rhetorical devotion to reducing inequality, it has widened significantly under his watch. Not only did the income of the middle 60% of households drop between 2010 and 2012 while that of the top 20% rose, the income of the middle 60% declined by a greater percentage than the poorest quintile. The middle 60% of earners’ share of the national pie has fallen from 53% in 1970 to 45% in 2012.
Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2014-02-16 20:12:472017-02-26 17:50:33The U.S. Middle Class Is Turning Proletarian

How Silicon Valley Could Destabilize The Democratic Party

January 9, 2014/in Politics
Appearing in:

Forbes

Much has been written, often with considerable glee, about the worsening divide in the Republican Party between its corporate and Tea Party wings. Yet Democrats may soon face their own schism as a result of the growing power in the party of high-tech business interests.

Gaining the support of tech moguls is a huge win for the Democrats — at least initially. They are not only a huge source of money, they also can provide critical expertise that the Republicans have been far slower to employ. There have always been affluent individuals who backed liberal or Democratic causes, either out of conviction or self-interest, but the tech moguls may be the first large capitalist constituency outside Hollywood to identify almost entirely with the progressives.

Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2014-01-09 23:42:232017-02-26 18:01:36How Silicon Valley Could Destabilize The Democratic Party

Political, Economic Power Grow More Concentrated

January 6, 2014/in Politics
Appearing in:

Orange County Register

Generally speaking, we associate the quest for central government control to be very much a product of the extremes of left and right. But increasingly, the lobby for ever-greater concentration of power – both economically and politically – comes not from the fringes, but from established centers of both parties and media power.

Recently, for example, an article by Francis Fukuyama, a conservative-leaning intellectual, called for greater consolidation of federal power, most particularly, the Executive Branch. Ironically, Fukuyama’s call for greater central power follows a line most often adopted by “progressive” Democrats, who seek to use federal power to enforce their views on a host of environmental, economic and social issues even on reluctant parts of the country.

Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2014-01-06 23:18:352017-02-26 18:04:38Political, Economic Power Grow More Concentrated

Neither Party Dealing with More-Rigid Class Structure

December 31, 2013/in Demographics, Politics
Appearing in:

Orange County Register

President Obama’s most-recent pivot toward the issue of “inequality” and saving the middle class might be seen as something of an attempt to change the subject after the health care reform disaster. As the Washington Post’s reliably liberal Greg Sargent explains, this latest bit of foot work back to the “old standby” issues provides “a template for the upcoming elections, one that allows Dems to shift from the grinding war of attrition over Obamacare that Republicans want to the bigger economic themes Dems believe give them the upper hand.”

Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2013-12-31 06:37:432017-02-26 17:35:41Neither Party Dealing with More-Rigid Class Structure
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