You are hereChina Is Not Likely To surpass US as broad economic superpower, new book predicts

China Is Not Likely To surpass US as broad economic superpower, new book predicts

By: 
Steven Levingston
Date: 
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
In: 
Washington Post.com

Joel Kotkin has some reassuring words for Americans worried that their country is in decline. In a book due out next month, the international futurist says China isn't likely to overtake the United States as the world's economic superpower in coming decades.

Now Available: The Next Hundred Million

Joel's new book, THE NEXT HUNDRED MILLION: America in 2050 is now available at booksellers everywhere.

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A Look at 40 years from now

But along comes Joel Kotkin with some observations that may make these strategic defaulters kick themselves a few years down the line. Kotkin is the author of a book, “The Next Hundred Million: America in 2050.”

Listen to Joel's Extended Interview on Minnesota Public Radio

From the show: "A leading expert on economic and social trends gives us his predictions for what America will look like in 2050. Joel Kotkin expects our cities and suburbs to become more densely populated, and we'll have an advantage over other countries because of our ethnic diversity."

Review at the Motley Fool

"This is an interesting book. It looks at the demographic and social changes that will happen to the US between now and 2050 as the US population grows from 300 million to 400 million.

Joel on LA Talk Radio

Last week Joel was an in studio guest at LA Talk Radio for a great discussion on the future of American cities and hopes for our families.

Listen to the interview: LA Talk Radio

Kotkin Spoke--too bad houston did not listen

I think you are a 21st-century city. The cities that are built on transit are 20th-century cities. It’s a good thing to have, but does a business move to Houston because it has a transit system?

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Also by Joel Kotkin: The City: A Global History

The Next Hundred Million

Joel Kotkin Summarizes "The Next Hundred Million: America in 2050" from Voices for Innovation on Vimeo.

Interview on Smartplanet.com

"Greenurbia is the suburbs of the future. The suburbs of the 1950s were bedroom communities for people who commuted into the city. Today, there’s much more employment in the suburbs, and the big change is the number of people working full-time or part-time at home. Having people commute from one computer screen to another doesn’t make sense."

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Praise for The Next Hundred Million

Kotkin has a striking ability to envision how global forces will shape daily family life, and his conclusions can be thought-provoking as well as counterintuitive. It's amazing there isn't more public discussion about the enormous changes ahead, and reassuring to have this talented thinker on the case. — Jennifer Ludden, NPR national desk correspondent

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