In a year when two boosters of the “luxury city,” Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg, are vying to run the whole country, the very model that created their “success” is slowly unraveling. After roughly 20 years of big-city progress, measured by economic growth and demographic progress, the dense urban centers, including New York, are again teetering on the brink of decline.
http://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/high-rise-apartments-lower-manhattan.jpg498800Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2020-02-19 07:09:592020-02-19 14:58:14The Luxury City is Going Bust
Joel Kotkin and Wendell Cox – The political and cultural war between red and blue America may not be settled in our lifetimes, but it’s clear which side is gaining ground in economic and demographic terms. In everything from new jobs to fertility rates, population growth, and migration, red states increasingly hold the advantage.
http://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/demographics-red-vs-blue.png16142501Joel Kotkin and Wendell Cox/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin and Wendell Cox2020-02-10 08:53:212020-02-10 09:27:14Red v. Blue
The Democratic Party may be united in their righteous detestation of Donald Trump, but the spirit of comity ends with that; ultimately the Democrats’ civil war reflects conflicts between prime constituencies.
Demography becomes destiny, the old adage goes. But many of the most confidently promoted demographic predictions have turned out grossly exaggerated or even dead wrong. In many cases they tend to reflect more the aspirations of pundits and reporters than the actual on-the-ground realities.
Many in the media and political class see Donald Trump as the face of America’s autocratic future. They’ve had less to say about Michael Bloomberg, a far more successful billionaire with the smarts, motivation, and elitist mentality not only to propose but actually carry out his own deeply authoritarian vision should he be elected president.
http://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/bloomberg-w-kerry-and-pritzker.jpg490628Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2020-01-21 07:26:242020-01-19 15:31:21You Think Trump’s a Danger to Democracy? Get a Load of Bloomberg.
Until just a few years ago, the need for economic growth to sustain societies was almost universally acknowledged. But today, political leaders and influential economists increasingly believe that economic growth should be supplanted by environmental or social equity concerns.
Is America about to suffer its Weimar moment, culminating in the collapse of its republican institutions? Our democracy may be more rooted than that of Germany’s first republic, which fell in 1933 to Adolf Hitler, but there are disturbing similarities.
http://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/trump-photo-by-gage-skidmore.jpg533800Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2020-01-02 07:30:502019-12-31 13:02:41Is America About to Suffer its Weimar Moment?
By all rights, Donald Trump should be packing his bags and headed to the golf links and his favorite fast food restaurant. Never popular, he has done little to expand his base over the past three years. Yet Trump appears further along the road to re-election than might have seemed possible just a short time ago.
http://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/Trump_with_supporters_in_Panama_City_Beach_2019.jpg6821024Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2019-12-30 07:51:372019-12-27 16:53:58How Trump Can Win Again
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