For the better part of this millennium, the nation’s urban planning punditry has predicted that the future lay with its densest, largest, and most cosmopolitan cities. Yet even before the onslaught of COVID-19, demographic and economic forces were pointing in the exact opposite direction…
http://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Canal_St-Baxter_St.jpg10631600Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2020-04-03 09:00:262020-04-03 10:36:10After Coronavirus We Need to Rethink Densely Populated Cities
Today, New York faces a looming existential crisis brought on by the coronavirus. It suffers the largest outbreak of infection by far, accounting for the largest numbers of both cases and deaths outside of Wuhan and Milan.
http://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/grand-central-station.jpg12471250Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2020-03-30 07:29:402020-03-27 14:13:50The End of New York
As of this writing, the long-term effects of the coronavirus pandemic remain uncertain. But one possible consequence is an acceleration of the end of the megacity era. In its place, we may now be witnessing the outlines of a new, and necessary, dispersion of population, not only in the wide open spaces of North America and Australia, but even in the megacities of the developing world.
http://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Shanghai_China_paveldvorak.jpg10661599Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2020-03-26 07:35:522020-03-25 09:19:13The Coming Age of Dispersion
By late spring, the most severe impacts from the coronavirus may be fading, but its impact on how we live and work will not go away. Indeed, many of the most relevant trends — including the rise of dispersed work and living arrangements — were already emerging even before the pandemic emerged.
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http://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/millennials-moving-to-heartland.jpg284355Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2020-03-15 18:35:392020-03-15 18:35:39Millennials Find New Hope in the Heartland
This past week, in most states, America’s liberal party voted for a doddering, but non-threatening old man, rejecting a strident socialist from Vermont. But second thoughts about socialism appear not to be on the agenda for California’s Democrats, who almost single-handedly kept Bernie Sanders’ anti-capitalist crusade from an untimely implosion.
Moderate Democrats are celebrating Joe Biden’s big Super Tuesday, but their joy may reflect a short-term triumph of the party’s past over its longer-term future. The sudden consolidation of the moderate vote around Biden may have triumphed for now, with help from African-American and older voters, but the Sanders–Elizabeth Warren wing of the Democratic Party remains the choice of rising demographic groups of the future.
With progressive Democrats in almost total control of California, and easily winning the money race, there’s no compelling reason to expect that they will face much opposition soon. Yet at a hearing I attended last month, I may have gotten a glimpse of potential blowback against the party’s ever accelerating leftward turn.
Politicians across the Western world like to speak fondly of the “middle class” as if it is one large constituency with common interests and aspirations. But, as Karl Marx observed, the middle class has always been divided by sources of wealth and worldview. Today, it is split into two distinct, and often opposing, middle classes.