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You are here: Home1 / Articles2 / The Economy

It Can Happen Here: The Screwed Generation in Europe and America

June 4, 2012/in Demographics, Politics, The Economy
Appearing in:

The Daily Beast

In Madrid you see them on the streets, jobless, aimless, often bearing college degrees but working as cabbies, baristas, street performers, or—more often—not at all. In Spain as in Greece, nearly half of the adults under 25 don’t work.

Call them the screwed generation, the victims of expansive welfare states and the massive structural debt charged by their parents. In virtually every developed country, and increasingly in developing ones, they include not only the usual victims, the undereducated and recent immigrants, but also the college-educated.

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2012-06-04 18:07:152017-02-24 17:59:27It Can Happen Here: The Screwed Generation in Europe and America

Seattle Is Leading An American Manufacturing Revival – Top Manufacturing Growth Regions

May 24, 2012/in The Economy
Appearing in:

Forbes.com

In this still tepid recovery, the biggest feel-good story has been the resurgence of American manufacturing. As industrial production has fallen in Europe and growth has slowed in China, U.S. factories have continued an expansion that has stretched on for over 33 months. In April, manufacturing growth was the strongest in 10 months.

There are a number of reasons for this revival. Rising wages in China – up from roughly one-third U.S. levels to half that in a decade — and problems associated with protection of trademarks and other issues have led many U.S. executives to look back home. Some 22% of U.S. product manufacturers surveyed by MFGWatch reported moving some production back to America in the fourth quarter of 2011, and one in three said they were studying the proposition.

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2012-05-24 19:25:382017-02-24 17:58:52Seattle Is Leading An American Manufacturing Revival – Top Manufacturing Growth Regions

Facebook’s IPO Testifies to Silicon Valley’s Power but Does Little for Other Californians

May 18, 2012/in California, The Economy
Appearing in:

The Daily Beast

The $104 billion Facebook IPO testifies to the still considerable innovative power of Silicon Valley, but the hoopla over the new wave of billionaires won’t change the basic reality of the state’s secular economic decline.

This contradicts the accepted narrative in Sacramento. Over five years of below-par economic performance, the state’s political, media, and business leadership has counted on the Golden State’s creative genius to fund the way out of its dismal budgetary morass and an unemployment rate that’s the third highest in the nation. David Crane, Governor Schwarzenegger’s top economic adviser, for example, once told me that California could easily afford to give up blue-collar jobs in warehousing, manufacturing, or even business services because the state’s vaunted “creative economy” would find ways to replace the lost employment and income. California would always come out ahead, he said, because it represented “ground zero for creative destruction.”

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2012-05-18 19:35:172017-02-24 17:58:11Facebook’s IPO Testifies to Silicon Valley’s Power but Does Little for Other Californians

The Top U.S. Regions for Technology Jobs

May 17, 2012/in California, The Economy
Appearing in:

Forbes.com

With Facebook poised to go public, the attention of the tech world, and Wall Street, is firmly focused on Silicon Valley. Without question, the west side of San Francisco Bay is by far the most prodigious creator of hot companies and has the highest proportion of tech jobs of any region in the country — more than four times the national average.

Yet Silicon Valley is far from leading the way in expanding science and technology-related employment in the United States.

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2012-05-17 17:06:192017-02-24 17:57:16The Top U.S. Regions for Technology Jobs

Small Cities Are Becoming a New Engine Of Economic Growth

May 8, 2012/in The Economy, Urban Affairs
Appearing in:

Forbes.com

The conventional wisdom is that the world’s largest cities are going to be the primary drivers of economic growth and innovation. Even slums, according to a fawning article in National Geographic, represent “examples of urban vitality, not blight.” In America, it is commonly maintained by pundits that “megaregions” anchored by dense urban cores will dominate the future.

Such conceits are, not surprisingly, popular among big city developers and the media in places like New York, which command the national debate by blaring the biggest horn. However, a less fevered analysis of recent trends suggests a very different reality: When it comes to growth, economic and demographic, opportunity increasingly is to be found in smaller, and often remote, places.

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2012-05-08 19:59:352017-02-24 17:46:28Small Cities Are Becoming a New Engine Of Economic Growth

The Best Cities for Jobs 2012

May 2, 2012/in The Economy
Appearing in:

Forbes.com

Throughout the brutal recession, one metropolitan area floated serenely above the carnage: Washington, D.C. Buoyed by government spending, the local economy expanded 17% from 2007 to 2012. But for the first time in four years, the capital region has fallen out of the top 15 big cities in our annual survey of the best places for jobs, dropping to 16th place from fifth last year.

It’s a symptom of a significant and welcome shift in the weak U.S. economic recovery: employment growth has moved away from the public sector to private businesses. In 2011, for the first time since before the recession, growth in private-sector employment outstripped the public sector. More than half (231) of the 398 metro areas we surveyed for our annual study of employment trends registered declines in government jobs, with public-sector employment dropping 0.9 percent overall. Meanwhile, private-sector employment expanded 1.4 percent.

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin and Michael Shires /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin and Michael Shires2012-05-02 17:15:252017-02-24 17:49:09The Best Cities for Jobs 2012

The New Class Warfare

April 30, 2012/in California, Politics, The Economy
Appearing in:

The City Journal

Few states have offered the class warriors of Occupy Wall Street more enthusiastic support than California has. Before they overstayed their welcome and police began dispersing their camps, the Occupiers won official endorsements from city councils and mayors in Los Angeles, San Francisco, Oakland, Richmond, Irvine, Santa Rosa, and Santa Ana. Such is the extent to which modern-day “progressives” control the state’s politics.

But if those progressives really wanted to find the culprits responsible for the state’s widening class divide, they should have looked in a mirror. Over the past decade, as California consolidated itself as a bastion of modern progressivism, the state’s class chasm has widened considerably. To close the gap, California needs to embrace pro-growth policies, especially in the critical energy and industrial sectors—but it’s exactly those policies that the progressives most strongly oppose.

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2012-04-30 18:25:042017-02-24 17:49:46The New Class Warfare

As California Collapses, Obama Follows Its Lead

April 27, 2012/in California, Politics, The Economy
Appearing in:

The Daily Beast

Barack Obama learned the rough sport of politics in Chicago, but his domestic policies have been shaped by California’s progressive creed. As the Golden State crumbles, its troubles point to those America may confront in a second Obama term.

From his first days in office, the president has held up California as a model state. In 2009, he praised its green-tinged energy policies as a blueprint for the nation. He staffed his administration with Californians like Energy Secretary Steve Chu—an open advocate of high energy prices who’s lavished government funding on “green” dodos like solar-panel maker Solyndra, and luxury electric carmaker Fisker—and Commerce Secretary John Bryson, who thrived as CEO of a regulated utility which raised energy costs for millions of consumers, sometimes to finance “green” ideals.

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2012-04-27 20:21:202017-02-24 17:52:44As California Collapses, Obama Follows Its Lead

As Filmmaking Surges, New Orleans Challenges Los Angeles

April 20, 2012/in California, The Economy
Appearing in:

Forbes.com

For generations New Orleans‘ appeal to artists, musicians and writers did little to dispel the city’s image as a poor, albeit fun-loving, bohemian tourism haven. As was made all too evident by Katrina, the city was plagued by enormous class and racial divisions, corruption and some of the lowest average wages in the country.

Yet recently, the Big Easy and the state of Louisiana have managed to turn the region’s creative energy into something of an economic driver. Aided by generous production incentives, the state has enjoyed among the biggest increases in new film production anywhere in the nation. At a time when production nationally has been down, the number of TV and film productions shot in Louisiana tripled from 33 per year in 2002-2007 to an average of 92 annually in 2008-2010, according to a study by BaxStarr Consulting. Movies starring Leonardo DiCaprio, Morgan Freeman, Harrison Ford are being made in the state this year.

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2012-04-20 18:10:412017-02-24 17:53:22As Filmmaking Surges, New Orleans Challenges Los Angeles

The Expanding Wealth Of Washington

March 19, 2012/in Politics, The Economy
Appearing in:

Forbes.com

Throughout the brutal and agonizingly long recession, only one large metropolitan area escaped largely unscathed: Washington, D.C. The city that wreaked economic disasters under two administration last year grew faster in population than any major region in the country, up a remarkable 2.7 percent. The continued steady growth of the Texas cities, which dominated the growth charts over the past decade, pales by comparison.

Boom times in the capital — particularly amidst a weak recovery elsewhere — are driving this growth. Since 2007, notes Stephen Fuller at George Mason University, the D.C. region’s economy has expanded 14 percent compared to a mere 3 percent for the rest of the country. Washington’s unemployment never scaled over 7 percent, well below the national average, and is now down to around 5.5 percent, about the lowest of any major metropolitan area. Unemployment of course is much higher, reaching 25 percent, in some of the district’s poorer neighborhoods.

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2012-03-19 18:28:002017-02-24 17:55:11The Expanding Wealth Of Washington
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