In this information age, brains are supposed to be the most valued economic currency. For California, where the regulatory environment is more difficult for companies and people who make things, this is even more the case. Generally speaking, those areas that have the heaviest concentration of educated people generally do better than those who don’t.
President Obama’s amnesty edict, likely to be the first of other such measures, all but guarantees California’s increasingly Latino future. But, sadly, for all the celebration among progressives, the media, Democratic politicans and in the Latino political community, there has been precious little consideration about the future of the newly legalized immigrants, as well as future generations of Latinos, in the state.
Southern California has long been a nurturer of dreams that, while widely anticipated, often are never quite achieved. One particularly strong fantasy involves Los Angeles abandoning what one enthusiast calls its “car habit” and converting into an ever-denser, transit-oriented region.
An analysis of transit ridership, however, shows that the region is essentially no better off than when the the modern period of transit funding began in 1980, with the passage of Proposition A, which authorized a half-cent sales tax for transit. In 1980, approximately 5.9 percent of workers in the metropolitan area (Los Angeles and Orange counties) used transit for their commute. The latest data, for 2013, indicates the ridership figure has fallen to 5.8 percent. Read more
https://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/cox-downtown-LA.jpg266355Joel Kotkin and Wendell Cox/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin and Wendell Cox2014-12-01 19:59:482017-02-06 14:11:40Southern California Stuck in Drive
The British Talmudic scholar Abraham Cohen noted that, throughout history, children were thought of as “a precious loan from God to be guarded with loving and fateful care.” Yet, increasingly and, particularly, here in Southern California, we are rejecting this loan, and abandoning our role as parents. Read more
https://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Baby-bnw.jpg237355Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2014-09-15 17:00:382017-01-31 14:49:39Southern California Becoming Less Family-Friendly
For more than a century, Southern Californians have dreamed of their region becoming host to a great global city. At the turn of the 20th century Henry Huntington, who built much of the area’s first mass-transit system, proclaimed that “Los Angeles is destined to become the most important city in the world.”
Of course, builders of other cities – St. Louis, New Orleans, Chicago and even Cincinnati, Ohio – have made similar predictions. But L.A.’s claim, unlike the others, had a significant resonance. Not only was the region growing rapidly throughout the previous century, and now stands as North America’s second-largest population center, but it dominated a host of fields, notably entertainment and aerospace, and was highly influential in energy, fashion and manufacturing. Read more
https://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/DowntownLosAngeles.jpg7151200Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2014-09-02 03:56:392017-02-06 14:12:55L.A. Hanging on as a Top Global City
Joel joined Doug McIntyre on LA’s KABC to talk about the decline of children in Southern California.
Click the Play button below to listen. (mp3 audio file)
/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png00Mark Schill/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngMark Schill2014-08-23 19:01:172017-02-27 09:23:09Joel Talks about the Lack of Kids in Southern California
If California is to change course and again become a place of opportunity, the impetus is likely to come not from the perennially shrinking Republican Party but from working-class and middle-class Democrats.
This group, long quiescent, has emerged most notably in opposition to the state’s anti-global warming cap-and-trade policies, which will force up energy prices. Recently, some 16 Democratic Assembly members, led by Fresno’s Henry Perea, asked the state to suspend the cap-and-trade program, which will add as much as a dollar to what already are among the highest gasoline prices in the nation.
In some senses, this budding blue-collar rebellion exposes the essential contradiction between the party’s now-dominant gentry Left and its much larger and less well-off voting base. For the people who fund the party – public employee unions, Silicon Valley and Hollywood – higher energy prices are more than worth the advantages. Public unions get to administer the program and gain in power and employment while venture capitalists and firms, like Google, get to profit on mandated “green energy” schemes. Read more
Forty years ago, Mexico was a one-party dictatorship under the Partido Revolucionario Institucional, hobbled by slow growth, soaring inequality, endemic corruption and dead politics. California, in contrast, was considered a model American state, with a highly regarded Legislature, relatively clean politics, a competitive political process and a soaring economy.
Today these roles are somewhat reversed, and not in a good way for the Golden State. To be sure, corruption remains endemic in Mexico, where the PRI ruled for some seven decades. But now, there is a vibrant, highly competitive political culture, with three strong parties and at least some movement toward economic reform. Thirty percent of Mexicans, according to Gallup, trust their federal government, a level not all that different than in the United States. Read more
https://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Jerry_Brown.jpg12001600Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2014-08-01 01:25:002017-02-06 17:22:07One-party Rule is No Party in California
The recent political earthquake in Europe has great implications for the United States, both internationally and domestically. The unpopularity of European Union institutions produced record-breaking votes for a motley assortment of anti-establishment parties across the Continent, suggesting it’s time to stop looking across the Atlantic for role models as Europe’s dismal prospects have inspired the lowest levels of political support in several decades.
/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png00Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2014-06-24 19:53:542017-02-27 10:14:48European Style Going Out of Fashion at Ballot Box
I’ve been friends with Charlie Sena for almost two decades. Charlie, a longtime entrepreneur, Democratic political operative and fundraiser for former Gov. Gray Davis, recently chided me about what he sees as my “negativity” about California and its future. My response was that, given its natural advantages, this region should not be in such a weakened condition. Decline, I suggest, is not an imperative here, but largely a choice.
Last week, I decided to confront this issue over lunch at Citrus Grille in Orange, just down the block from Chapman University, where I teach. Charlie noted that the negative points I was making were correct, but I owed it to the readers to “write a piece on why California can be, and should be, a state with the right climate for business growth.” Read more
/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png00Joel Kotkin/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.pngJoel Kotkin2014-06-16 20:36:122017-02-27 10:18:35California’s Choice – Growth or Decline