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You are here: Home1 / Articles2 / Demographics

The Poverty Of Ambition: Why The West Is Losing To China And India – The New World Order

December 31, 2010/in Demographics, Politics, The Economy
Appearing in:

Forbes.com

The last 10 years have been the worst for Western civilization since the 1930s. At the onset of the new millennium North America, Europe and Oceania stood at the cutting edge of the future, with new technologies and a lion’s share of the world’s GDP.  At its end, most of these economies limped, while economic power – and all the influence it can buy politically – had shifted to China, India and other developing countries.

This past decade China’s economic growth rate, at 10% per annum, grew to five times that U.S.; the gap was even more disparate between China and the slower-growing  E.U.,  Yet periods of slow economic growth occur throughout history — recall the 1970s — and economies recover. The bigger problem facing Western countries, then, is a metaphysical one — a malady that the British writer Austin Williams has dubbed “the poverty of ambition.”

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Mark Schill /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Mark Schill2010-12-31 00:43:442017-02-24 16:50:23The Poverty Of Ambition: Why The West Is Losing To China And India – The New World Order

Education Wars: The New Battle For Brains

December 9, 2010/in Demographics, Rural Policy, The Economy
Appearing in:

Forbes.com

The end of stimulus — as well as the power shift in Congress — will have a profound effect on which regions and states can position themselves for the longer-term recovery. Nowhere will this be more critical than in the battle for brains.

In the past, and the present, places have competed for smart, high-skilled newcomers by building impressive physical infrastructure and offering incentives and inducements for companies or individuals. But the battle for the brains — and for long-term growth — is increasingly tied to whether a state can maintain or expand its state-supported higher education. This is particularly critical given the growing student debt crisis, which may make public institutions even more attractive to top students.

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https://joelkotkin.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/demographic-education.png 670 855 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2010-12-09 00:24:052017-02-06 10:21:23Education Wars: The New Battle For Brains

Demography vs. Geography: Understanding the Political Future

December 9, 2010/in Demographics, Politics, The Economy
Appearing in:

The American

In the crushing wave that flattened much of the Democratic Party last month, two left-leaning states survived not only intact but in some ways bluer than before. New York and California, long-time rivals for supremacy, may both have seen better days; but for Democrats, at least, the prospects there seem better than ever.

That these two states became such outliers from the rest of the United States reflects both changing economics and demographics. Over the past decade, New York and California underperformed in terms of job creation across a broad array of industries. Although still great repositories of wealth, their dominant metropolitan areas increasingly bifurcated between the affluent and poor. The middle class continues to ebb away for more opportune climes.

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2010-12-09 00:21:352017-02-24 16:52:24Demography vs. Geography: Understanding the Political Future

Korea Conflict Shows That Borderlands Are Zones of Danger

November 30, 2010/in Demographics, Politics
Appearing in:

Forbes.com

The current conflict between the Koreas illustrates a broader global trend toward chaos along borders separating rich and poor countries. Ultimately, this reflects the resentments of a poor neighbor against a richer one. Feeling it has little to lose, the poorer neighbor engages recklessly in the hope of gaining some sort of tribute or recognition   from the better-heeled neighbor, or at least boosting its own self-respect.

The Korean situation epitomizes the fundamental danger when rich and poor countries live adjacent to one another. According to 2006 statistics, South Korea has a per capita income of roughly $18,000; the North’s stands at $1,300. Clearly, the threat of leveling Seoul, a wealthy and successful city, has limited South Korea’s ability to respond as it might otherwise to its nasty, militaristic neighbor, whose people live on the brink of starvation.

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2010-11-30 00:01:162017-02-24 16:52:49Korea Conflict Shows That Borderlands Are Zones of Danger

The Rise of the Efficient City

November 26, 2010/in Demographics, The Economy, Urban Affairs
Appearing in:

Wall Street Journal

Smaller, more nimble urban regions promise a better life than the congested megalopolis.

Most of the world’s population now lives in cities. To many academics, planners and developers, that means that the future will be dominated by what urban theorist Saskia Sassen calls “new geographies of centrality.” According to this view, dense, urban centers with populations in excess of 20 million—such as metropolitan Tokyo, New Delhi, Sao Paolo and New York—are best suited to control the commanding heights of global economics and culture in the coming epoch. Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2010-11-26 18:18:492017-02-24 16:53:14The Rise of the Efficient City

Welcome to Recoveryland: The Top 10 Places in America Poised for Recovery

November 9, 2010/in Demographics, The Economy, Urban Affairs
Appearing in:

Newsweek

Like a massive tornado, the Great Recession up-ended the topography of America. But even as vast parts of the country were laid low, some cities withstood the storm and could emerge even stronger and shinier than before. So, where exactly are these Oz-like destinations along the road to recovery? If you said Kansas, you’re not far off. Try Oklahoma. Or Texas. Or Iowa. Not only did the economic twister of the last two years largely spare Tornado Alley, it actually may have helped improve the landscape. Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2010-11-09 05:01:552017-02-24 16:43:00Welcome to Recoveryland: The Top 10 Places in America Poised for Recovery

The New World Order

November 4, 2010/in Demographics, Urban Affairs
Appearing in:

Newsweek

Tribal ties—race, ethnicity, and religion—are becoming more important than borders.

For centuries we have used maps to delineate borders that have been defined by politics. But it may be time to chuck many of our notions about how humanity organizes itself. Across the world a resurgence of tribal ties is creating more complex global alliances. Where once diplomacy defined borders, now history, race, ethnicity, religion, and culture are dividing humanity into dynamic new groupings.

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2010-11-04 17:46:452017-02-24 16:44:18The New World Order

The Smackdown Of The Creative Class

November 3, 2010/in Demographics, Politics
Appearing in:

Forbes.com

Two years ago I hailed Barack Obama’s election as “the triumph of the creative class.” Yesterday everything reversed, as middle-class Americans smacked down their putative new ruling class of highly educated urbanistas and college town denizens.

More than anything, this election marked a shift in American class dynamics. In 2008 President Obama managed to win enough middle-class, suburban voters to win an impressive victory. This year, those same voters deserted, rejecting policies more geared to the “creative class” than mainstream America. Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2010-11-03 22:41:272017-02-24 16:45:16The Smackdown Of The Creative Class

Suburban Nation, but Urban Policies

October 28, 2010/in Demographics, Politics, Urban Affairs
Appearing in:

Politico

Ideologues may set the tone for the national debate, but geography and demography determine elections.

In America, the dominant geography continues to be suburbia – home to at least 60 percent of the population and probably more than that portion of the electorate. Roughly 220 congressional districts, or more than half the nation’s 435, are predominately suburban, according to a 2005 Congressional Quarterly study. This is likely to only increase in the next decade, as Millennials begin en masse to enter their 30s and move to the periphery. Read more

/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2010-10-28 17:09:302017-02-24 16:46:10Suburban Nation, but Urban Policies

Who’s Racist Now? Europe’s Increasing Intolerance

October 19, 2010/in Demographics, Politics
Appearing in:

Forbes.com

With the rising tide of terrorist threats across Europe, one can somewhat understandably expect a   surge in Islamophobia across the West. Yet in a contest to see which can be more racist, one would be safer to bet on Europe than on the traditional bogeyman, the United States.

One clear indicator of how flummoxed Europeans have become about diversity were the remarks last week by German Chancellor Angela Merkel saying that multi-culturalism has “totally failed” in her country, the richest and theoretically  most capable of absorbing immigrants. “We feel tied to Christian values,” the Chancellor said. “Those who don’t accept them don’t have a place here.”

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/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png 0 0 Joel Kotkin /wp-content/uploads/2017/01/jkotkin_logo.png Joel Kotkin2010-10-19 00:03:472017-02-24 16:47:03Who’s Racist Now? Europe’s Increasing Intolerance
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