American politics is increasingly about dueling geographies. Today’s Democrats base is mostly urban, while the Republican base is rural and exurban—but suburbia will decide the 2020 election.
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Given the weak economy, the ham-handed response to COVID-19 and the miserable persona that is Donald Trump, four years later this election should be in the Democrats’ bag. But there are three big things that Trump is getting right, and Democrats are mostly just ignoring, that explain why the smart money in Vegas sees Trump’s odds of winning going up.
In spring the swallows famously return to Capistrano, California, but in recent years they are followed by summer power outages and fires. This is not as pleasant an experience for Californians as the return of our favored feathered companions.
By virtue of being chosen Joe Biden’s running mate, Senator Kamala Harris of California has reasonable odds of becoming president someday. That’s cause for concern, not because she represents the far Left, but because she will promote the spread of California’s increasingly feudal political and economic order, which undermines the upward mobility that long defined the California experience.
For roughly the past half century, the heartland of America has been widely written off as reactionary, backward, and destined for unceasing decline.
The dreadful death of George Floyd lit a fire that threatens to burn down America’s cities. Already losing population before the pandemic, our major urban centers have provided ideal kindling for conflagration with massive unemployment, closed businesses and already rising crime rates.
Racial identity politics has become the rage in the media, entertainment, and political worlds. Will this approach help minorities transcend discrimination and achieve a durable success in a diverse society?
In Ma Jian’s novel China Dream, the protagonist, Ma Daode suggests, “The China dream is not the selfish, individualist dream chased by Western countries. It is a …dream of the entire nation…” This mindless worship of hierarchy and control permeates his thinking.
No state advertises its green credentials more than California. That these policies often hurt the economy, driving up housing costs and narrowing opportunities for working-class people while not even doing much for the environment, has not discouraged the state’s environmental overlords.
Whether the post-Trump era starts this November or in 2024, Republicans will need to rebuild as a viable aspirational party, one that supports upward mobility for most Americans; it will have to appeal to minority communities, which now tilt overwhelmingly to the Democrats.
- Podcast Episode 10: How COVID is Shifting Corporate Location StrategySeptember 16, 2020 - 9:14 am
- Why the 2020 Election Will Be Decided in SuburbiaSeptember 7, 2020 - 7:25 am
- Podcast Episode 9: How COVID is Shaping the Office of the FutureSeptember 2, 2020 - 12:40 pm
- Voice of America, Public DomainThree Things Trump is Getting Right and Democrats IgnoredAugust 30, 2020 - 7:25 am